Asia Chart of the Week:Hey,who said China lost its edge?
摘要: Asifoncue:therenminbistartstolookabitwobblyand,presto,theworrywartsbegintolookforabigdepreciation.So
As if on cue: the renminbi starts to look a bit wobbly and, presto, the worrywartsbegin to look for a big depreciation. Soaring wage growth in recent years, so theirargument goes, has deprived China of its competitiveness. From this perspective,a sharp exchange rate adjustment is a "necessity" to lift exports and GDP growth.Well, not quite. Sure, exports are lacklustre, especially compared with their headypace of the mid-2000s. But that's because global demand is weak, not becausethe Mainland has lost its edge. In fact, last year, China once again raised its sharein global exports – and at double the usual pace. Therefore, it's tough to arguethat competitiveness is what ails China, or that a lack thereof necessitates majorexchange rate realignment (of course, there are other considerations for policychanges, which our FX strategists frequently write about).For Asia more broadly,changes in global export shares also provide a handy guide to individual markets'competitive positions. Korea has held up well (although the maturing smartphoneand global mining capex cycles will make life tougher). India and Vietnam, too, lookpeppy. By contrast, Malaysia, Indonesia, Taiwan, the Philippines, Thailand, andJapan have either lost market share or stagnated, presumably being hurt the mostby China's tenacious competitive edge.
Asifoncue,therenminbistartstolookabitwobblyand,presto,theworrywartsbegintolookforabigdepreciation,Soaringwagegrowthinrecentyears








长治县|
苏州市|
碌曲县|
梁山县|
股票|
武功县|
称多县|
肥东县|
井研县|
固原市|
忻州市|
卫辉市|
前郭尔|
太保市|
昌吉市|
大竹县|
义马市|
仪征市|
静宁县|
滁州市|
古田县|
潢川县|
鹿邑县|
灵山县|
东平县|
万山特区|
荥阳市|
宝兴县|
益阳市|
洛隆县|
巴马|
留坝县|
双鸭山市|
平邑县|
广南县|
日喀则市|
贡山|
白河县|
项城市|
甘谷县|
桐乡市|